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FI International: The Canadian Transport Giant Poised for a Comeback
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Top Canadian Stock to Buy Right Now With $1,000
TFI International (TSX: TFII)
This Week at a Glance — What moved TFII?
Market performance: shares slipped -3.1% (5-day) while Industrials also softened.
Positioning: the stock trades at ~57% of its 52-week high, suggesting room for recovery if freight volumes and pricing firm up.
Estimates: Street models trimmed near-term EPS (next 90-days trend lower), but still look for +33.6% EPS growth next year—a potential re-rating catalyst.
Cycle watch: management’s diversified mix (LTL/Truckload/Logistics) and cost controls keep margins resilient vs. peers even into a freight slowdown.
Key Metrics
Metric | Value |
|---|---|
Stock Price | C$124.39 (+1.03% on the day) |
Weekly Move | -3.1% (5-day) |
Market Cap | ~C$14.54B (price × shares outstanding) |
P/E (TTM) | 20.8× |
Forward P/E | 20.2× |
52-Week Range | C$102.57 – C$219.48 |
YTD Return | -34.9% |
Dividend Yield (Fwd.) | ~2.0% |
Recent News Pulse (high-level)
Price action & estimates: The week featured tactical weakness alongside estimate trims for the next two quarters, but FY-2026 EPS remains materially higher than FY-2025 in models.
Defensive levers: Investors continue to focus on TFII’s cost discipline and portfolio flexibility (LTL/Truckload/Logistics) as buffers against soft freight demand.
Capital returns: Dividend remains ~2.0% with a ~40% payout ratio, leaving room for continued buybacks/M&A when conditions improve.
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Growth Indicators
Growth Metric | TFII |
|---|---|
Sales Growth (Next Year) | +3.5% |
EPS Growth (Next Year) | +33.6% |
5-Year EPS Growth Estimate | +24.6% |
Why it matters: A strong EPS inflection against modest revenue growth implies margin and mix tailwinds (pricing, efficiency, tuck-ins). If freight cycles stabilize, TFII could re-rate from current earnings multiples.
Valuation & Quality Snapshot
Compelling value: EV/EBITDA ~8.3× and P/FCF ~10.4× compare well to trucking peers.
Quality metrics: ROE ~13.8%, ROIC ~9.2%; balance sheet solid with Interest Coverage ~4.1×.
Bottom Line
TFI International looks like a quality compounder temporarily out of favour: depressed YTD, robust next-year EPS growth, proven capital allocation, and defensible margins. For long-term investors deploying ~C$1,000, TFII offers a balanced risk/reward into a potential freight upcycle.
The Wealth Awesome Team
