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This Buffett-Style Canadian Stock Is Quietly Crushing the Market
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This Week’s Story at a Glance
TerraVest Industries (TSX: TVK) slipped this week, with the share price down ~11.4% over 5 days to $197.21, even though it’s still up ~29% YTD and ~28% over the past year. 📉➡️📈
The pullback looks more like profit-taking in a richly valued, high-growth name than a change in the long-term story. Growth expectations remain strong, and earnings estimates for this year and next continue to creep higher.
Key Metrics Snapshot
Metric | Value | Why it Matters |
|---|---|---|
Share Price | $197.21 (-3.76% on the day) | Reflects a sharp weekly pullback after a strong run. |
Weekly Move (5-day) | -11.4% | Short-term sentiment hit despite strong fundamentals. |
Market Cap | $183.1B (USD) | Mega-cap scale – a global platform. |
P/E (TTM) | 103.5× | Very rich – market prices in years of growth. |
Forward P/E | 105.3× | Still premium even on future earnings. |
52-Week Range | $99.32 – $253.10 | Stock has more than doubled off the lows. |
YTD Return | +28.9% | Big outperformance vs. the broader market. |
1-Year Return | +28.5% | Confirms a strong 12-month trend despite recent dip. |
Dividend Yield | 0% (no dividend) | This is a pure growth story, not an income play. |
Value Score | 47 / 100 | Market sees it as expensive but justified by growth. |
Growth Score | 95 / 100 | Elite growth profile among peers. |
Analyst & Sentiment Check
There’s no formal consensus rating or target price in the dataset (no “Buy/Hold/Sell” breakdown shown), but the scores and estimate trends paint a clear picture:
Sentiment & Quality
Category | Score | Read on It |
|---|---|---|
Sentiment Score | 72 / 100 | Market is still broadly positive despite this week’s drop. |
Quality Score | 75 / 100 | Solid margins, strong returns, and a scalable model. |
Piotroski F-Score | 7 / 9 | Generally healthy balance sheet & fundamentals. |
Altman Z-Score | 46.6 | Very low financial distress risk. |
Implied Analyst Tone (from revisions & metrics)
Even without an official “Strong Buy / Buy / Hold” breakdown, the estimate revisions suggest:
Earnings for this year and next are being nudged UP over time, not slashed.
High P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples indicate the market is willing to pay for long runway growth.
Recent short-term price weakness looks more like a valuation reset than a broken thesis.
You can fairly frame it as:
💬 Street Vibe: “High-conviction growth name with sky-high expectations – not cheap, but the growth engine is still running.”
“Recent News” – What’s Driving the Week
From publicly visible sources, there aren’t any blockbuster, company-specific headlines this week (no fresh M&A, huge partnerships, or new product categories announced in the last few days).
So this week’s action is likely dominated by:
Tech / growth stock risk-off mood 👉 Investors locking in gains after a strong YTD rally.
Valuation worries 👉 With P/E above 100×, even small sentiment shifts can mean big price swings.
Macro backdrop 👉 Yields, rates, and growth-stock rotations heavily influence a name like this.
You can summarize for your article:
Market Narrative: “Shares pulled back sharply this week on profit-taking and valuation nerves, but the long-term growth story and earnings trajectory remain intact.”
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Growth Indicators – Why Bulls Still Care
Despite the volatility, the growth profile is elite:
Revenue & Earnings Growth
Growth Metric | Figure | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|
Sales Growth Next Year | +23.2% | Top-tier revenue growth vs both sector and S&P 500. |
Sales Growth (Last Year) | +30.2% | Already comping off a very strong year. |
3-Year Sales CAGR | +27.2% | Durable, multi-year growth story. |
5-Year Sales CAGR | +34.4% | Long history of compounding at high double digits. |
EPS Growth – This Year (Est.) | +15.8% | Profit growth catching up to revenue. |
Next Year EPS Growth Est. | +28.4% | Strong margin and earnings leverage expected. |
5-Year EPS Growth Estimate | +27.8% | Street still expects compound earnings growth close to 30%. |
Crash Expert: “This Looks Like 1929” → 70,000 Hedging Here
Mark Spitznagel, who made $1B in a single day during the 2015 flash crash, warns markets are mimicking 1929. Yeah, just another oracle spouting gloom and doom, right?
Vanguard and Goldman Sachs forecast just 5% and 3% annual S&P returns respectively for the next decade (2024-2034).
Bonds? Not much better.
Enough warning signals—what’s something investors can actually do to diversify this week?
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Shares in new offerings can sell quickly but…
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Profitability & Returns
Metric | Value | Why it’s Impressive |
|---|---|---|
Gross Margin | 48.8% | High margin for a platform-driven business. |
Operating Margin | 15.7% | Scaling nicely as it grows. |
Net Margin | 16.7% | Profitable and still in high-growth mode. |
ROE | 14.2% | Solid returns without heavy leverage (Debt/Equity 0.1). |
ROIC | 13.1% | Shows efficient use of capital. |
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The Wealth Awesome Team