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This Cash-Gushing Canadian Stock Is Beating the TSX
Tourmaline Oil (TSX: TOU) Weekly Breakdown
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Tourmaline Oil, Canada’s largest natural gas producer, had a strong week — delivering a solid price bump, bullish analyst sentiment, and improving near-term fundamentals. Here's everything investors need to know
Major Developments This Week
Strong Market Performance
Stock climbed +2.66% this week to $63.67, showing resilience even as energy benchmarks remain mixed.
Investors rotated back into natural gas plays as winter demand projections improved.
Natural Gas Outlook Strengthening
Rising North American gas prices and improving LNG export volumes supported the sector.
Tourmaline remains one of the lowest-cost producers — meaning it benefits disproportionately from any pricing uptrend.
Dividend Strength Reaffirmed
Forward yield sits at 3.1%, complemented by Tourmaline’s well-known special dividends (not shown in the data but common historically).
Strong free cash flow and low leverage keep dividends secure.
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Key Metrics at a Glance
Metric | Value |
|---|---|
Stock Price | $63.67 |
Weekly Move | +2.66% |
Market Cap | $17.48B |
P/E Ratio | 18.2 |
Forward P/E | 13.6 |
52-Week Range | $55.40 – $70.83 |
YTD Return | +0.1% |
Dividend Yield (Forward) | 3.1% |
Payout Ratio | 52.4% |
Analyst Insights (BUY Rating!)
Consensus Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (BUY)
From 17 analysts:
Strong Buy: 10
Buy: 2
Hold: 5
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0
Price Target Outlook
Average Target: $72.45
Upside Potential: +13.8%
Target Range: $62.00 – $84.19
Analysts remain bullish thanks to TOU’s strong cost structure, leverage to rising nat-gas prices, and consistent profitability.
Recent News Highlights
1️⃣ Natural Gas Demand Boosting Outlook
Reports highlight strengthening winter natural-gas demand, improving sentiment for Canadian gas producers like TOU.
2️⃣ Sector Rotation Benefiting TOU
Energy investors are rotating back into nat-gas names amid price stabilization — TOU being the top pick due to scale and margins.
3️⃣ Price Momentum vs. Peers
Tourmaline outperformed many Canadian E&P peers this week, supported by a 6.0% 5-day gain and improving money-flow metrics.
Growth Indicators (Very Strong)
Growth Metric | Value |
|---|---|
Sales Growth (Next Year) | +18.4% |
EPS Growth (Next Year) | +49.7% |
5-Year EPS Growth Estimate | +28.8% |
1-Year EPS Change | -21.0% (expected rebound underway) |
Why this matters:
Tourmaline is set for a strong earnings rebound after a soft year — positioning it well for 2025–2026.
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Why Investors Like This Stock
Ultra-low cost producer → stays profitable even when nat-gas prices fall
Cash-rich balance sheet → supports dividends and special payouts
High growth forecasts → EPS expected to jump nearly 50% next year
Defensive + growth → rare combination in the energy sector
Perfect for TFSA? Absolutely.
Tourmaline offers:
✔ Tax-free dividend growth
✔ Low debt
✔ Strong long-term appreciation
✔ Inflation-protected commodity exposure
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The Wealth Awesome Team